CH 11.4 · NRL · LIVE

NRL is live — try-scorer edge on air.

A V3 stacked engine with a try-scorer edge (park factors + matchup priors). It cleared its out-of-sample bar: +20.7% on the V3 backtest, and the last-10-rounds Top-3 pool ran 15-15 for +103.7%. The try-scorer and h2h markets carry it; line markets stay off the slate.

The model

How the NRL model works.

V6 unified engine

A from-scratch unified engine with specialist player and team sub-embeddings, market-specific mixture-of-experts heads, and a referee family sourced from the public record. It is fully built and runs nightly — internally.

EngineV6 unifiedStateBuilt · gated

Anytime-scorer edge, forward-tracking

The most promising signal is anytime try-scorer, where the first placebo-surviving, Kelly-staked edge showed up out of sample. It is forward-tracking against closing prices and is not yet bankable — the forward record is the test.

SignalAnytime scorerStatusForward-tracking

Hard-gated — nothing on air

By rule, nothing NRL is displayed publicly until it's approved. This page exists so the discipline is visible, not the picks — there are no pick cards, no track record, and no numbers to publish yet.

DisplayGatedPicks shownNone
The record

The NRL record, settled.

Computed live from the public settled archive — losses included. ROI is on staked units, halved-unit basis.

MINI TRACK RECORD · SETTLED2026-03-282026-05-31
Units (5u/pick basis)+31.1u
ROI on stake+103.7%
Record (W–L)1515
Win rate50.0%
Settled picks30
Units staked30.0u
CUMULATIVE UNITS
LAST 10
NO MARKET DATA

Per-market rows appear once the archive has settled picks.

The features

Built for NRL.

NRL MARKETS ON THE SLATE
Anytime try-scorer15

Tune into NRL tonight.

Free through the NBA Playoffs — evening delivery, public record, cancel anytime.