A probability, not a tip
Every scored prop carries a modelled probability and an expected value measured against the price actually on offer. You get the number and what it is claiming, rather than a confidence rating with nothing behind it.
CH 11 · THE MODEL
Every prop priced, and a gate that says no.
A model output is only worth something if you know what it is claiming, and when it refuses to claim anything at all. This channel is both halves of that.
THE SLATE214 PROPSevery player prop, every book
SCORED214 PRICEDone calibrated probability each
THE GATES38 CLEAREV > 0.08 · odds ≤ 3.5
THE BOOK15 PICKSTop 1 · Top 3 · Premium
Ranked across the slate
Picks are ordered by model rank within the slate, not by how exciting the matchup is. Free accounts receive the top-ranked pick that clears the gate; Premium opens the whole board in the same order.
Four gates before anything issues
The artifact has to be a finished model run, the price has to be a real bookmaker quote rather than a modelled consensus, the quote has to carry a source hash so settlement can replay it, and the event must not have started. Miss one and the pick is withheld, not downgraded.
GATES4FALLBACKNoneDELIVERYEvening before
Judged on closing-line value
A model that is accurate but late is worth nothing to a bettor. Performance is assessed on value against the closing line and on settled return, which is the only measure that survives contact with a bookmaker's margin.
Four codes. One discipline.
Each code is its own channel — tune in for the full breakdown: the model, a live track record, the per-market record, and the features built for that sport.
Defensive-allowance instrument
The longest settled history on the network, and the code the pricing core was built against.
Disposals, marks and the market splits
Player props plus per-market breakdowns, with the settled record published in full.
Player-prop book, feed coming online
Off air for current selections while the price feed is promoted from a modelled consensus.
Off air while the boundary is set
No current selections are issued. The settled history stays public, losses included.
THE DELIVERY BOUNDARY
Current selections are never rendered publicly — not hidden behind a blur, absent from the page, its API and the payload underneath it. Public visitors get fixture-only previews; a verified free account gets one issued signal a day; Premium opens the full board.
Start on the free tier.
One issued signal a day, evening delivery, and a public record that keeps the losing weeks on it. No card required.